Well here it is…. I think this will be a big boost for the league, and should make for a more competitive league. In my opinion this coming offseason is the perfect time to put this into place, and I’m glad the vote earlier in the season reflected that people were ready for this change. The main reason this is a good time to put this in place is the Yankees themselves. This plan will affect them the most, and they are currently without an owner. In addition they have a 180 million dollar payroll, will probably make 280 million or so this season. This will leave them with plenty of cash to be paid into the revenue sharing plan. In addition they will have 90 million in expiring contracts. Whoever the new owner will have plenty of flexibility to maintain the Yankees as a premier team in this league.
Here is what I will do over the rest of this post. Part will be a link to the full spreadsheet that details the plan (probably added at a later time), part of the post will be what we will do this offseason, and part will be what we will be doing in the coming seasons. What I think is great about this plan is it is flexible. What I mean is it can easily be tweaked depending on what issues need to be addressed in the league. The potential/current issues I am thinking of are the following: extreme differences in revenue between small and large market teams, extremely high payroll, and a large amount of cash on hand for teams. At this time the last two aren’t really an issue. The first is, so that is what this plan will focus on.
For now I will stick to general numbers. I’ll work the details out tonight or tomorrow, but this will give some time for feedback. The plan I detailed last offseason was setup to get all teams to a range of between 70 million and 150 million. This plan looks at revenue for the season after it's completed, and payroll on August 1st, basically right after the trade deadline. I am building this as a 3 step plan, but that does not mean it will be done in three years, or even last 3 years. Basically after each season it would be an offseason topic, so that would mean it would be up for vote each season. The vote would be to keep at the same level another season, increase the revenue sharing to the next step, scale back the revenue sharing, or discontinue all together. There would be rules in place along the way so this does not dramatically harm one of the large market teams. The point is for them to have to scale back over time, not screw them in the short term.
Okay so on to this coming offseason. My current plan is to loosely follow the plan I had from last year, with a slightly larger amount being taken from the Yankees. This will probably be around 100 million, depending on how they do in the playoffs with ticket sales. This is probably a little more than I had them contributing for the first year when I talked about this last year, but their current roster, owner, and cash situation should mean this will be no problem for whoever the new owner is. They will be left with 25 – 30 million in cash. This should be plenty considering they will be losing so much payroll this season. The Mets will be the only other team with much of a change, paying somewhere around 20million. They are on pace for a historical high revenue wise, so I don’t believe they will be greatly impacted either, and this is only 10 million or so more than they paid last year. On the other side the smaller teams such as KC will receive as much as 15 million. I will add some initial estimates for this later tonight or tomorrow as well.
Going forward after this offseason all teams will need to start planning for this and how it will affect their team. I will post on a regular basis throughout the season projected revenue sharing numbers for the upcoming offseason. Instead of large market teams planning to stay above breaking even they will need to plan to stay above the amount of revenue sharing they are responsible for paying. On the flip side teams receiving revenue can not count on receiving that same amount in the future. If the plan is discontinued in the future you’ll need to adjust, so don’t go crazy with the cash on hand you have or money you may or may not receive in the future.
Just a few things to help this get into place….
As I mentioned this plan can be voted on after each season.
For this coming offseason and next offseason a team paying into the revenue sharing plan cannot be left with less than 15 million in cash. For instance I believe St. Louis (and 2 or 3 other teams that would have to pay) will end up with less than 10 million at season’s end, so they will be exempt. This rule basically gives teams 2 offseasons to plan for this. After that if you do not have enough cash you will be put into the red, meaning you are in debt and will have to follow the contract and free agent rules for teams in debt.
An exception to this would be the following. Since this is a phased in approach, for each 7.5 million dollar increase in your revenue sharing over the previous season you will be allowed to drop one pre-revenue sharing contract at no cost. There’d be a limit of 2 per offseason. If you signed a player after this plan is introduced you’ll have to pay them off or figure out a way to trade them to improve your financial situation.
Those are my thoughts for now. I'm hurrying a little so I can do the sim before I play basketball, but I will add any other thoughts and the actual numbers and spreadsheet link later.